METODE TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING HOLT-WINTERS UNTUK PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN NUSANTARA DI KABUPATEN BANYUWANGI
Unisda Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science (UJMC)
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ISSN |
2579-907X 2460-3333 |
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Authentication Code |
dc |
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Title Statement |
METODE TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING HOLT-WINTERS UNTUK PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN NUSANTARA DI KABUPATEN BANYUWANGI |
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Added Entry - Uncontrolled Name |
Yusuf, Feby Indriana Anjasari, Dwi Hilda Universitas PGRI Banyuwangi Universitas PGRI Banyuwangi |
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Summary, etc. |
Forecasting is how to predict future event by considering the past data. This research aims to determine the results of the comparison of forecasting the number of domestic tourists in Banyuwangi by triple exponential smoothing method of Holt-Winters multiplicative and additive models in order to obtain the best model. The data used in this research is the number of domestic tourists in Banyuwangi period January 2010 to March 2018. The results showed that forecasting by the triple exponential smoothing method of multiplicative models with a smoothing constant α = 0.18; γ = 0.03 and β = 0.1 obtained the smallest value of MAPE and MSE.
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Publication, Distribution, Etc. |
Mathematics Department of Mathematics and Natural Sciences Unisda Lamongan |
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Electronic Location and Access |
application/pdf http://e-jurnal.unisda.ac.id/index.php/ujmc/article/view/1107 |
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Data Source Entry |
Unisda Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science (UJMC); Vol 4 No 2 (2018): Unisda Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science |
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Language Note |
eng |
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Terms Governing Use and Reproduction Note |
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