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PERAMALAN PENYEBARAN JUMLAH KASUS VIRUS EBOLA DI GUINEA DENGAN METODE ARIMA

Unisda Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science (UJMC)

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ISSN 2579-907X
2460-3333
 
Authentication Code dc
 
Title Statement PERAMALAN PENYEBARAN JUMLAH KASUS VIRUS EBOLA DI GUINEA DENGAN METODE ARIMA
 
Added Entry - Uncontrolled Name Chandra, Novita Eka
Sarinem, Sarinem
Universitas Islam Darul Ulum Lamongan
Universitas Islam Darul Ulum Lamongan
 
Summary, etc. Ebola virus can cause death. The spread number of cases of this virus is very rapidly, especially in the Guinea of West Africa. Based on the past data, the spread number of cases of ebola virus can be predicted by the method of time series namely ARIMA method. In this study the researcher used 63 cases of ebola virus. By using ARIMA method, it was found that an appropriate model for the spread of ebola virus cases is ARIMA(0,2,3). Based on the model, the spread number of cases of ebola virus can be predictedfor the next 13 periods, with the result that the spread number of cases of ebola virus has decreased from period to period.
 
Publication, Distribution, Etc. Mathematics Department of Mathematics and Natural Sciences Unisda Lamongan
 
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http://e-jurnal.unisda.ac.id/index.php/ujmc/article/view/447
 
Data Source Entry Unisda Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science (UJMC); Vol 2 No 1 (2016): Unisda Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science
 
Language Note eng
 
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